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     "o": 4395.8,
     "h": 4407.5,
     "l": 4310.7,
     "c": 4322.7
    },
    {
     "d": "2026-09-24",
     "o": 4322.7,
     "h": 4338.0,
     "l": 4278.3,
     "c": 4310.0
    },
    {
     "d": "2026-09-25",
     "o": 4310.0,
     "h": 4351.6,
     "l": 4289.2,
     "c": 4320.3
    },
    {
     "d": "2026-09-28",
     "o": 4320.3,
     "h": 4315.6,
     "l": 4143.1,
     "c": 4148.4
    },
    {
     "d": "2026-09-29",
     "o": 4148.4,
     "h": 4218.1,
     "l": 4145.2,
     "c": 4214.8
    },
    {
     "d": "2026-09-30",
     "o": 4214.8,
     "h": 4251.1,
     "l": 4178.2,
     "c": 4188.9
    }
   ],
   "stale": false,
   "live": {
    "last": 4188.87,
    "chg": -1.23,
    "chg_pct": -0.03,
    "date": "2026-10-01",
    "time": "17:13:02",
    "source": "Sina Finance · COMEX GC live tick"
   }
  },
  "au": {
   "label": "沪金 Au99.99 连续",
   "unit": "元/克",
   "source": "新浪财经·沪金 Au99.99 连续",
   "asOf": "2026-09-30",
   "last": 910.58,
   "chg1d": 1.31,
   "spark": [
    945.56,
    972.94,
    987.44,
    1006.82,
    1004.22,
    1003.0,
    995.3,
    999.28,
    961.92,
    959.94,
    938.22,
    958.38,
    965.96,
    950.78,
    953.12,
    952.22,
    957.18,
    944.94,
    937.6,
    932.3,
    940.52,
    935.0,
    951.38,
    942.9,
    935.78,
    939.5,
    927.66,
    904.66,
    898.78,
    910.58
   ],
   "live": {
    "last": 910.58,
    "chg": 12.72,
    "chg_pct": 1.42,
    "date": "2026-09-30",
    "time": "15:00:00",
    "source": "Sina Finance · SGE Au99.99 live tick"
   },
   "stale": false
  },
  "cpi": {
   "source": "东方财富·经济数据一览（datacenter-web API）",
   "asOf": "2026-08",
   "published": "2026-09-11",
   "stale": false,
   "months": [
    "2025-07",
    "2025-08",
    "2025-09",
    "2025-11",
    "2025-12",
    "2026-01",
    "2026-02",
    "2026-03",
    "2026-04",
    "2026-05",
    "2026-06",
    "2026-07",
    "2026-08"
   ],
   "vals": [
    2.7,
    2.9,
    3.0,
    2.7,
    2.7,
    2.4,
    2.4,
    3.3,
    3.8,
    4.2,
    3.5,
    3.4,
    3.4
   ],
   "nextPub": "2026-10-14"
  },
  "pce": {
   "source": "美国经济分析局 BEA·NIPA 表2.3.4（经 DBnomics 镜像）",
   "asOf": "2026-Q2",
   "freq": "季度",
   "stale": false,
   "months": [
    "2023-06",
    "2023-09",
    "2023-12",
    "2024-03",
    "2024-06",
    "2024-09",
    "2024-12",
    "2025-03",
    "2025-06",
    "2025-09",
    "2025-12",
    "2026-03",
    "2026-06"
   ],
   "vals": [
    4.63,
    3.94,
    3.29,
    3.11,
    2.84,
    2.84,
    2.98,
    2.81,
    2.74,
    2.87,
    2.85,
    3.14,
    3.38
   ]
  },
  "nfp": {
   "source": "东方财富·经济数据一览（datacenter-web API）",
   "asOf": "2026-08",
   "published": "2026-09-04",
   "stale": false,
   "months": [
    "2025-11",
    "2025-12",
    "2026-01",
    "2026-02",
    "2026-03",
    "2026-04",
    "2026-05",
    "2026-06",
    "2026-07",
    "2026-08"
   ],
   "vals": [
    4.1,
    -1.7,
    16.0,
    -15.6,
    21.4,
    14.8,
    6.3,
    3.1,
    2.1,
    16.2
   ],
   "nextPub": "2026-10-02"
  },
  "ppi": {
   "source": "美国劳工统计局 BLS·PPI 最终需求指数（WPUFD4，NSA，YoY 自算）",
   "asOf": "2026-08",
   "stale": false,
   "months": [
    "2025-08",
    "2025-09",
    "2025-10",
    "2025-11",
    "2025-12",
    "2026-01",
    "2026-02",
    "2026-03",
    "2026-04",
    "2026-05",
    "2026-06",
    "2026-07",
    "2026-08"
   ],
   "vals": [
    2.66,
    3.04,
    2.84,
    3.14,
    3.14,
    3.08,
    3.37,
    4.29,
    5.7,
    5.92,
    5.58,
    4.84,
    5.44
   ]
  },
  "dxy": {
   "source": "GodInformation data/dxy.csv（新浪积累）",
   "asOf": "2026-10-01",
   "dates": [
    "2026-05-29",
    "2026-06-01",
    "2026-06-02",
    "2026-06-03",
    "2026-06-04",
    "2026-06-05",
    "2026-06-08",
    "2026-06-09",
    "2026-06-10",
    "2026-06-11",
    "2026-06-12",
    "2026-06-15",
    "2026-06-16",
    "2026-06-17",
    "2026-06-18",
    "2026-06-19",
    "2026-06-22",
    "2026-06-23",
    "2026-06-24",
    "2026-06-25",
    "2026-06-26",
    "2026-06-29",
    "2026-06-30",
    "2026-07-01",
    "2026-07-02",
    "2026-07-03",
    "2026-07-06",
    "2026-07-07",
    "2026-07-08",
    "2026-07-09",
    "2026-07-10",
    "2026-07-13",
    "2026-07-14",
    "2026-07-15",
    "2026-07-16",
    "2026-07-17",
    "2026-07-20",
    "2026-07-21",
    "2026-07-22",
    "2026-07-23",
    "2026-07-24",
    "2026-07-27",
    "2026-07-28",
    "2026-07-29",
    "2026-07-30",
    "2026-07-31",
    "2026-08-03",
    "2026-08-04",
    "2026-08-05",
    "2026-08-06",
    "2026-08-07",
    "2026-08-10",
    "2026-08-11",
    "2026-08-12",
    "2026-08-13",
    "2026-08-14",
    "2026-08-17",
    "2026-08-18",
    "2026-08-19",
    "2026-08-20",
    "2026-08-21",
    "2026-08-24",
    "2026-08-25",
    "2026-08-26",
    "2026-08-27",
    "2026-08-28",
    "2026-08-31",
    "2026-09-01",
    "2026-09-02",
    "2026-09-03",
    "2026-09-04",
    "2026-09-07",
    "2026-09-08",
    "2026-09-09",
    "2026-09-10",
    "2026-09-11",
    "2026-09-14",
    "2026-09-15",
    "2026-09-16",
    "2026-09-17",
    "2026-09-18",
    "2026-09-21",
    "2026-09-22",
    "2026-09-23",
    "2026-09-24",
    "2026-09-25",
    "2026-09-28",
    "2026-09-29",
    "2026-09-30",
    "2026-10-01"
   ],
   "vals": [
    98.93,
    99.19,
    99.22,
    99.53,
    99.44,
    100.07,
    100.02,
    99.95,
    100.04,
    99.69,
    99.79,
    99.68,
    99.56,
    100.38,
    100.84,
    100.76,
    101.0,
    101.37,
    101.57,
    101.46,
    101.36,
    101.11,
    101.17,
    101.41,
    100.86,
    100.91,
    100.87,
    101.09,
    101.07,
    100.93,
    100.96,
    101.31,
    100.93,
    100.51,
    100.72,
    100.76,
    100.97,
    101.21,
    101.12,
    101.44,
    101.45,
    101.53,
    101.42,
    100.82,
    99.98,
    99.78,
    99.97,
    99.86,
    99.69,
    99.95,
    99.6,
    99.81,
    99.82,
    99.97,
    99.96,
    99.64,
    99.58,
    99.65,
    98.79,
    98.87,
    98.85,
    98.99,
    98.91,
    99.14,
    99.13,
    99.68,
    99.42,
    99.66,
    99.56,
    99.0,
    99.15,
    98.92,
    98.87,
    98.79,
    99.09,
    99.09,
    99.47,
    99.63,
    100.33,
    100.23,
    100.22,
    100.43,
    100.54,
    101.13,
    101.24,
    101.03,
    101.19,
    101.41,
    101.382,
    101.454
   ]
  },
  "gdp": {
   "source": "美国经济分析局 BEA·NIPA 表1.1.1（经 DBnomics 镜像）",
   "asOf": "2026-Q2",
   "quarters": [
    {
     "q": "2025-Q2",
     "val": 3.8
    },
    {
     "q": "2025-Q3",
     "val": 4.4
    },
    {
     "q": "2025-Q4",
     "val": 0.5
    },
    {
     "q": "2026-Q1",
     "val": 2.1
    },
    {
     "q": "2026-Q2",
     "val": 1.5
    }
   ],
   "real": [
    {
     "q": "2025-Q2",
     "val": 3.8
    },
    {
     "q": "2025-Q3",
     "val": 4.4
    },
    {
     "q": "2025-Q4",
     "val": 0.5
    },
    {
     "q": "2026-Q1",
     "val": 2.1
    },
    {
     "q": "2026-Q2",
     "val": 1.5
    }
   ]
  },
  "treasury": {
   "source": "Yahoo Finance ^TNX/^TYX（日线，经本机代理）",
   "asOf": "2026-09-30",
   "y10": {
    "dates": [
     "2026-03-13",
     "2026-03-16",
     "2026-03-17",
     "2026-03-18",
     "2026-03-19",
     "2026-03-20",
     "2026-03-23",
     "2026-03-24",
     "2026-03-25",
     "2026-03-26",
     "2026-03-27",
     "2026-03-30",
     "2026-03-31",
     "2026-04-01",
     "2026-04-02",
     "2026-04-03",
     "2026-04-06",
     "2026-04-07",
     "2026-04-08",
     "2026-04-09",
     "2026-04-10",
     "2026-04-13",
     "2026-04-14",
     "2026-04-15",
     "2026-04-16",
     "2026-04-17",
     "2026-04-20",
     "2026-04-21",
     "2026-04-22",
     "2026-04-23",
     "2026-04-24",
     "2026-04-27",
     "2026-04-28",
     "2026-04-29",
     "2026-04-30",
     "2026-05-01",
     "2026-05-04",
     "2026-05-05",
     "2026-05-06",
     "2026-05-07",
     "2026-05-08",
     "2026-05-11",
     "2026-05-12",
     "2026-05-13",
     "2026-05-14",
     "2026-05-15",
     "2026-05-18",
     "2026-05-19",
     "2026-05-20",
     "2026-05-21",
     "2026-05-22",
     "2026-05-26",
     "2026-05-27",
     "2026-05-28",
     "2026-05-29",
     "2026-06-01",
     "2026-06-02",
     "2026-06-03",
     "2026-06-04",
     "2026-06-05",
     "2026-06-08",
     "2026-06-09",
     "2026-06-10",
     "2026-06-11",
     "2026-06-12",
     "2026-06-15",
     "2026-06-16",
     "2026-06-17",
     "2026-06-18",
     "2026-06-22",
     "2026-06-23",
     "2026-06-24",
     "2026-06-25",
     "2026-06-26",
     "2026-06-29",
     "2026-06-30",
     "2026-07-01",
     "2026-07-02",
     "2026-07-06",
     "2026-07-07",
     "2026-07-08",
     "2026-07-09",
     "2026-07-10",
     "2026-07-13",
     "2026-07-14",
     "2026-07-15",
     "2026-07-16",
     "2026-07-17",
     "2026-07-20",
     "2026-07-21",
     "2026-07-22",
     "2026-07-23",
     "2026-07-24",
     "2026-07-27",
     "2026-07-28",
     "2026-07-29",
     "2026-07-30",
     "2026-07-31",
     "2026-08-03",
     "2026-08-04",
     "2026-08-05",
     "2026-08-06",
     "2026-08-07",
     "2026-08-10",
     "2026-08-11",
     "2026-08-12",
     "2026-08-13",
     "2026-08-14",
     "2026-08-17",
     "2026-08-18",
     "2026-08-19",
     "2026-08-20",
     "2026-08-21",
     "2026-08-24",
     "2026-08-25",
     "2026-08-26",
     "2026-08-27",
     "2026-08-28",
     "2026-08-31",
     "2026-09-01",
     "2026-09-02",
     "2026-09-03",
     "2026-09-04",
     "2026-09-08",
     "2026-09-09",
     "2026-09-10",
     "2026-09-11",
     "2026-09-14",
     "2026-09-15",
     "2026-09-16",
     "2026-09-17",
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-09-21",
     "2026-09-22",
     "2026-09-23",
     "2026-09-24",
     "2026-09-25",
     "2026-09-28",
     "2026-09-29",
     "2026-09-30"
    ],
    "vals": [
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     4.23,
     4.2,
     4.26,
     4.25,
     4.39,
     4.34,
     4.39,
     4.33,
     4.42,
     4.44,
     4.35,
     4.3,
     4.33,
     4.31,
     4.35,
     4.34,
     4.33,
     4.29,
     4.29,
     4.31,
     4.3,
     4.26,
     4.29,
     4.32,
     4.26,
     4.26,
     4.3,
     4.3,
     4.34,
     4.31,
     4.35,
     4.36,
     4.42,
     4.4,
     4.39,
     4.45,
     4.43,
     4.36,
     4.41,
     4.38,
     4.42,
     4.46,
     4.46,
     4.47,
     4.59,
     4.61,
     4.67,
     4.57,
     4.57,
     4.56,
     4.5,
     4.48,
     4.45,
     4.45,
     4.47,
     4.46,
     4.49,
     4.47,
     4.55,
     4.56,
     4.53,
     4.55,
     4.45,
     4.48,
     4.47,
     4.43,
     4.49,
     4.46,
     4.51,
     4.5,
     4.41,
     4.4,
     4.38,
     4.38,
     4.44,
     4.48,
     4.49,
     4.48,
     4.55,
     4.56,
     4.54,
     4.56,
     4.62,
     4.58,
     4.55,
     4.57,
     4.54,
     4.6,
     4.63,
     4.66,
     4.7,
     4.68,
     4.64,
     4.6,
     4.62,
     4.66,
     4.74,
     4.69,
     4.63,
     4.62,
     4.67,
     4.66,
     4.7,
     4.68,
     4.68,
     4.64,
     4.7,
     4.72,
     4.71,
     4.65,
     4.7,
     4.74,
     4.7,
     4.64,
     4.66,
     4.67,
     4.72,
     4.76,
     4.8,
     4.8,
     4.76,
     4.78,
     4.78,
     4.8,
     4.92,
     4.92,
     4.98,
     5.0,
     4.98,
     4.95,
     4.99,
     4.96,
     4.94,
     4.99,
     5.1,
     5.19,
     5.23,
     5.24,
     5.23
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    "last": 5.23,
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    "slope20": 2.15,
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    "pctile52": 99
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   "y30": {
    "dates": [
     "2026-03-13",
     "2026-03-16",
     "2026-03-17",
     "2026-03-18",
     "2026-03-19",
     "2026-03-20",
     "2026-03-23",
     "2026-03-24",
     "2026-03-25",
     "2026-03-26",
     "2026-03-27",
     "2026-03-30",
     "2026-03-31",
     "2026-04-01",
     "2026-04-02",
     "2026-04-03",
     "2026-04-06",
     "2026-04-07",
     "2026-04-08",
     "2026-04-09",
     "2026-04-10",
     "2026-04-13",
     "2026-04-14",
     "2026-04-15",
     "2026-04-16",
     "2026-04-17",
     "2026-04-20",
     "2026-04-21",
     "2026-04-22",
     "2026-04-23",
     "2026-04-24",
     "2026-04-27",
     "2026-04-28",
     "2026-04-29",
     "2026-04-30",
     "2026-05-01",
     "2026-05-04",
     "2026-05-05",
     "2026-05-06",
     "2026-05-07",
     "2026-05-08",
     "2026-05-11",
     "2026-05-12",
     "2026-05-13",
     "2026-05-14",
     "2026-05-15",
     "2026-05-18",
     "2026-05-19",
     "2026-05-20",
     "2026-05-21",
     "2026-05-22",
     "2026-05-26",
     "2026-05-27",
     "2026-05-28",
     "2026-05-29",
     "2026-06-01",
     "2026-06-02",
     "2026-06-03",
     "2026-06-04",
     "2026-06-05",
     "2026-06-08",
     "2026-06-09",
     "2026-06-10",
     "2026-06-11",
     "2026-06-12",
     "2026-06-15",
     "2026-06-16",
     "2026-06-17",
     "2026-06-18",
     "2026-06-22",
     "2026-06-23",
     "2026-06-24",
     "2026-06-25",
     "2026-06-26",
     "2026-06-29",
     "2026-06-30",
     "2026-07-01",
     "2026-07-02",
     "2026-07-06",
     "2026-07-07",
     "2026-07-08",
     "2026-07-09",
     "2026-07-10",
     "2026-07-13",
     "2026-07-14",
     "2026-07-15",
     "2026-07-16",
     "2026-07-17",
     "2026-07-20",
     "2026-07-21",
     "2026-07-22",
     "2026-07-23",
     "2026-07-24",
     "2026-07-27",
     "2026-07-28",
     "2026-07-29",
     "2026-07-30",
     "2026-07-31",
     "2026-08-03",
     "2026-08-04",
     "2026-08-05",
     "2026-08-06",
     "2026-08-07",
     "2026-08-10",
     "2026-08-11",
     "2026-08-12",
     "2026-08-13",
     "2026-08-14",
     "2026-08-17",
     "2026-08-18",
     "2026-08-19",
     "2026-08-20",
     "2026-08-21",
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     "2026-06-30",
     "2026-07-01",
     "2026-07-02",
     "2026-07-06",
     "2026-07-07",
     "2026-07-08",
     "2026-07-09",
     "2026-07-10",
     "2026-07-13",
     "2026-07-14",
     "2026-07-15",
     "2026-07-16",
     "2026-07-17",
     "2026-07-20",
     "2026-07-21",
     "2026-07-22",
     "2026-07-23",
     "2026-07-24",
     "2026-07-27",
     "2026-07-28",
     "2026-07-29",
     "2026-07-30",
     "2026-07-31",
     "2026-08-03",
     "2026-08-04",
     "2026-08-05",
     "2026-08-06",
     "2026-08-07",
     "2026-08-10",
     "2026-08-11",
     "2026-08-12",
     "2026-08-13",
     "2026-08-14",
     "2026-08-17",
     "2026-08-18",
     "2026-08-19",
     "2026-08-20",
     "2026-08-21",
     "2026-08-24",
     "2026-08-25",
     "2026-08-26",
     "2026-08-27",
     "2026-08-28",
     "2026-08-31",
     "2026-09-01",
     "2026-09-02",
     "2026-09-03",
     "2026-09-04",
     "2026-09-07",
     "2026-09-08",
     "2026-09-09",
     "2026-09-10",
     "2026-09-11",
     "2026-09-14",
     "2026-09-15",
     "2026-09-16",
     "2026-09-17",
     "2026-09-18",
     "2026-09-21",
     "2026-09-22",
     "2026-09-23",
     "2026-09-24",
     "2026-09-25",
     "2026-09-28",
     "2026-09-29",
     "2026-09-30"
    ],
    "vals": [
     30.6,
     25.2,
     24.5,
     23.9,
     24.2,
     25.8,
     21.0,
     19.5,
     19.2,
     19.1,
     18.4,
     18.2,
     17.9,
     17.5,
     18.9,
     19.5,
     18.9,
     19.3,
     18.7,
     18.0,
     17.8,
     18.8,
     16.9,
     17.0,
     18.3,
     17.4,
     17.4,
     17.1,
     17.2,
     18.4,
     18.0,
     17.9,
     17.3,
     18.4,
     17.8,
     18.1,
     17.4,
     16.8,
     16.7,
     16.6,
     17.0,
     16.3,
     15.7,
     15.3,
     16.0,
     15.8,
     16.1,
     15.4,
     21.5,
     18.9,
     19.9,
     22.2,
     19.4,
     17.7,
     16.2,
     16.4,
     18.4,
     16.4,
     17.3,
     19.5,
     18.6,
     18.9,
     18.4,
     17.6,
     16.5,
     16.6,
     16.1,
     15.6,
     16.1,
     16.9,
     15.8,
     15.0,
     17.2,
     16.5,
     15.7,
     16.7,
     18.8,
     18.6,
     17.0,
     16.6,
     18.7,
     18.6,
     18.7,
     18.2,
     20.7,
     17.1,
     16.0,
     15.9,
     16.5,
     15.8,
     15.1,
     14.9,
     15.5,
     15.3,
     14.6,
     14.6,
     14.2,
     15.2,
     15.8,
     14.9,
     16.0,
     15.1,
     15.9,
     15.4,
     15.2,
     14.5,
     14.4,
     14.9,
     16.3,
     15.2,
     14.3,
     14.5,
     15.3,
     15.7,
     16.5,
     17.8,
     15.8,
     17.1,
     17.2,
     17.7,
     15.4,
     14.8,
     14.9,
     14.2,
     15.2,
     15.7,
     14.9,
     16.1,
     16.0,
     16.3
    ]
   },
   "cbGold": {
    "source": "Wikipedia·Gold reserve（转引 World Gold Council/IMF IFS）",
    "asOf": "2026-10-01",
    "trackerFrom": "2026-01",
    "rows": [
     {
      "name": "United States",
      "tonnes": 8133.5,
      "share": "83.8%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 0.0
     },
     {
      "name": "Germany",
      "tonnes": 3350.3,
      "share": "84.0%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 0.1
     },
     {
      "name": "International Monetary Fund",
      "tonnes": 2814.0,
      "share": "—[a]",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 0.0
     },
     {
      "name": "Italy",
      "tonnes": 2451.8,
      "share": "80.6%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 0.0
     },
     {
      "name": "France",
      "tonnes": 2437.0,
      "share": "81.8%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 0.0
     },
     {
      "name": "China",
      "tonnes": 2386.5,
      "share": "10.2%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 88.0
     },
     {
      "name": "Russia",
      "tonnes": 2283.8,
      "share": "40.6%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": -48.9
     },
     {
      "name": "Switzerland",
      "tonnes": 1039.9,
      "share": "15.1%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 0.0
     },
     {
      "name": "India",
      "tonnes": 880.5,
      "share": "18.1%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 0.5
     },
     {
      "name": "Japan",
      "tonnes": 845.9,
      "share": "9.1%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 0.0
     },
     {
      "name": "Poland",
      "tonnes": 640.6,
      "share": "29.2%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 90.6
     },
     {
      "name": "Netherlands",
      "tonnes": 612.5,
      "share": "74.2%",
      "chg1m": 0.0,
      "chgSinceFirst": 0.1
     }
    ],
    "forecast": {
     "text": "World Gold Council 2025 年度央行调查：约 95% 受访央行预计未来 12 个月全球官方黄金储备继续上升，约四成计划增持自身储备；动力为去美元化、地缘避险与利率环境。",
     "textEn": "World Gold Council 2025 annual central-bank survey: ~95% of respondents expect global official gold reserves to keep rising over the next 12 months and ~40% plan to add to their own reserves; drivers are de-dollarisation, geopolitical hedging and the rate environment.",
     "source": "World Gold Council 央行调查（年度）",
     "sourceEn": "World Gold Council central-bank survey (annual)"
    }
   },
   "cbFlow": {
    "source": "IMF IRFCL·官方 SDMX API（官方储备黄金持仓 FTO 口径）",
    "asOf": "2026-10-01",
    "firstMonth": "2023-01",
    "lastMonth": "2026-07",
    "months": [
     "2023-01",
     "2023-02",
     "2023-03",
     "2023-04",
     "2023-05",
     "2023-06",
     "2023-07",
     "2023-08",
     "2023-09",
     "2023-10",
     "2023-11",
     "2023-12",
     "2024-01",
     "2024-02",
     "2024-03",
     "2024-04",
     "2024-05",
     "2024-06",
     "2024-07",
     "2024-08",
     "2024-09",
     "2024-10",
     "2024-11",
     "2024-12",
     "2025-01",
     "2025-02",
     "2025-03",
     "2025-04",
     "2025-05",
     "2025-06",
     "2025-07",
     "2025-08",
     "2025-09",
     "2025-10",
     "2025-11",
     "2025-12",
     "2026-01",
     "2026-02",
     "2026-03",
     "2026-04",
     "2026-05",
     "2026-06",
     "2026-07"
    ],
    "vals": [
     89.2,
     54.4,
     7.9,
     -76.0,
     -36.8,
     51.6,
     31.3,
     77.0,
     59.9,
     41.4,
     50.9,
     10.4,
     40.0,
     43.5,
     9.0,
     31.2,
     17.5,
     -16.1,
     -16.4,
     3.2,
     39.0,
     41.9,
     55.7,
     0.7,
     8.5,
     31.2,
     37.3,
     22.8,
     30.0,
     11.0,
     14.7,
     15.6,
     40.6,
     32.5,
     40.8,
     16.8,
     13.1,
     27.0,
     -112.2,
     59.6,
     31.9,
     46.9,
     68.5
    ],
    "cover": [
     23,
     18,
     24,
     21,
     21,
     25,
     20,
     23,
     24,
     21,
     22,
     24,
     20,
     22,
     23,
     26,
     20,
     26,
     20,
     22,
     24,
     23,
     20,
     21,
     22,
     20,
     26,
     22,
     25,
     20,
     20,
     18,
     22,
     21,
     19,
     26,
     27,
     24,
     26,
     21,
     25,
     26,
     20
    ],
    "years": [
     {
      "year": "2023",
      "net": 361.2,
      "from": "2023-01",
      "to": "2023-12"
     },
     {
      "year": "2024",
      "net": 249.2,
      "from": "2024-01",
      "to": "2024-12"
     },
     {
      "year": "2025",
      "net": 301.8,
      "from": "2025-01",
      "to": "2025-12"
     },
     {
      "year": "2026",
      "net": 134.8,
      "from": "2026-01",
      "to": "2026-07"
     }
    ],
    "tops": [
     {
      "code": "CHN",
      "name": "中国",
      "nameEn": "China",
      "base": 2025.5,
      "last": 2366.4,
      "net": 340.9,
      "asOf": "2026-07"
     },
     {
      "code": "RUS",
      "name": "俄罗斯",
      "nameEn": "Russia",
      "base": 2329.7,
      "last": 2270.6,
      "net": -59.1,
      "asOf": "2026-08"
     },
     {
      "code": "POL",
      "name": "波兰",
      "nameEn": "Poland",
      "base": 228.7,
      "last": 648.0,
      "net": 419.3,
      "asOf": "2026-08"
     },
     {
      "code": "TUR",
      "name": "土耳其",
      "nameEn": "Türkiye",
      "base": 816.5,
      "last": 791.4,
      "net": -25.1,
      "asOf": "2026-08"
     },
     {
      "code": "IND",
      "name": "印度",
      "nameEn": "India",
      "base": 787.4,
      "last": 880.5,
      "net": 93.1,
      "asOf": "2026-07"
     },
     {
      "code": "KAZ",
      "name": "哈萨克斯坦",
      "nameEn": "Kazakhstan",
      "base": 355.6,
      "last": 369.8,
      "net": 14.2,
      "asOf": "2026-07"
     },
     {
      "code": "SGP",
      "name": "新加坡",
      "nameEn": "Singapore",
      "base": 198.4,
      "last": 203.5,
      "net": 5.2,
      "asOf": "2026-07"
     },
     {
      "code": "CZE",
      "name": "捷克",
      "nameEn": "Czechia",
      "base": 12.0,
      "last": 85.8,
      "net": 73.8,
      "asOf": "2026-08"
     },
     {
      "code": "JOR",
      "name": "约旦",
      "nameEn": "Jordan",
      "base": 64.2,
      "last": 78.7,
      "net": 14.5,
      "asOf": "2026-07"
     }
    ],
    "note": "报告国口径：仅统计向 IMF 月度申报的央行（未报告者不计入，故低于 WGC 全口径）；官方 API 直连，数据止于 2026-07（滞后约 3 个月）"
   },
   "debt": {
    "source": "FRED·GFDEGDQ188S / A091RC1Q027SBEA",
    "asOf": "2026-01-01",
    "debtPctGdp": 122.6,
    "debtPctGdpYoY": 2.0,
    "debtQ": "2026-Q1",
    "netInterest": 1279.7,
    "netInterestYoY": 82.6,
    "netInterestQ": "2026-Q2",
    "qAsOf": "2026-Q1"
   },
   "nfpTracker": {
    "source": "自建存档 nfp_tracker.json + 东方财富",
    "asOf": "2026-10-01",
    "detail": [
     {
      "month": "2026-03",
      "initial": 21.4,
      "latest": 21.4,
      "drift": 0.0
     },
     {
      "month": "2026-04",
      "initial": 14.8,
      "latest": 14.8,
      "drift": 0.0
     },
     {
      "month": "2026-05",
      "initial": 6.3,
      "latest": 6.3,
      "drift": 0.0
     },
     {
      "month": "2026-06",
      "initial": 2.0,
      "latest": 3.1,
      "drift": 1.1
     },
     {
      "month": "2026-07",
      "initial": -2.3,
      "latest": 2.1,
      "drift": 4.4
     },
     {
      "month": "2026-08",
      "initial": 16.2,
      "latest": 16.2,
      "drift": 0.0
     }
    ],
    "stats": {
     "ups": 2,
     "downs": 0,
     "avg_abs_drift": 0.9
    }
   },
   "drivers": [
    {
     "name": "美债利率趋势",
     "nameEn": "Treasury yield trend",
     "score": -100,
     "dir": "利空",
     "dirEn": "bearish",
     "reason": "10Y 收益率 20 日 +43bp（上行）；准实际利率（10Y−CPI）≈1.83%：利率上行压制金价",
     "reasonEn": "10Y yield +43bp over 20d (rising); real rate (10Y−CPI) ≈1.83%: rising yields pressure gold",
     "win": "20日",
     "winEn": "20d"
    },
    {
     "name": "美元指数",
     "nameEn": "US Dollar Index (DXY)",
     "score": -100,
     "dir": "利空",
     "dirEn": "bearish",
     "reason": "DXY 20 日 +2.48% 至 101.454：美元走强利空黄金",
     "reasonEn": "DXY +2.48% over 20d to 101.454: stronger dollar weighs on gold",
     "win": "20日",
     "winEn": "20d"
    },
    {
     "name": "央行购金",
     "nameEn": "Central-bank gold buying",
     "score": 45,
     "dir": "利多",
     "dirEn": "bullish",
     "reason": "IMF 报告国近 12 个月净购金 +281 吨（2025-08~2026-07，买入仍在持续）+ WGC 调查 95% 央行料继续增持：结构性利多（未报告央行未计入）",
     "reasonEn": "IMF-reporting central banks net-bought +281 t over the last 12 months (2025-08–2026-07) and the WGC survey has 95% expecting more buying: structurally bullish (non-reporting banks excluded)",
     "win": "结构",
     "winEn": "structural"
    },
    {
     "name": "美国债务负担",
     "nameEn": "US debt burden",
     "score": 39,
     "dir": "利多",
     "dirEn": "bullish",
     "reason": "联邦债务/GDP 122.6%（2026-Q1，同比 +2.0pp），净利息支出年化 12797 亿美元（2026-Q2）：高债务+高利息挤压政策空间，财政主导与货币贬值担忧=黄金结构性利多",
     "reasonEn": "Federal debt at 122.6% of GDP (2026-Q1, +2.0pp y/y), net interest outlays $1280B annualised (2026-Q2): high debt and interest costs squeeze policy room — fiscal-dominance and debasement concerns are structurally bullish for gold",
     "win": "结构",
     "winEn": "structural"
    },
    {
     "name": "油价传导",
     "nameEn": "Oil→CPI transmission",
     "score": -38,
     "dir": "利空",
     "dirEn": "bearish",
     "reason": "布伦特 30 日 +7.6%（90 日 -13.2%）至 $97.92：短期方向主导——油价→CPI→利率压力",
     "reasonEn": "Brent +7.6% over 30d (-13.2% over 90d) to $97.92: the 30d direction dominates — oil→CPI→rates pressure",
     "win": "30日",
     "winEn": "30d"
    },
    {
     "name": "避险情绪",
     "nameEn": "Risk sentiment (VIX)",
     "score": 18,
     "dir": "利多",
     "dirEn": "bullish",
     "reason": "VIX 20 日 +7.2% 至 16.3：避险需求",
     "reasonEn": "VIX +7.2% over 20d to 16.3: safe-haven demand",
     "win": "20日",
     "winEn": "20d"
    },
    {
     "name": "政策定价",
     "nameEn": "Policy pricing",
     "score": 14,
     "dir": "利多",
     "dirEn": "bullish",
     "reason": "Polymarket 加息 33.1%/降息 0.7%：紧缩预期未主导",
     "reasonEn": "Polymarket hike 33.1%/cut 0.7%: tightening not dominant",
     "win": "9月FOMC",
     "winEn": "Sep FOMC"
    },
    {
     "name": "通胀方向",
     "nameEn": "Inflation direction",
     "score": -4,
     "dir": "中性",
     "dirEn": "neutral",
     "reason": "CPI 同比近两月 -0.1pp 至 3.4%（回落=降息依据），核心 PCE 季环比 +0.24pp 至 3.38%（回升=约束降息）：两口径方向分歧，计分按 CPI 6:PCE 4 折中；水平约束见信号面板「通胀约束」行",
     "reasonEn": "CPI YoY -0.1pp over 2m to 3.4%, core PCE q/q +0.24pp to 3.38% — the two gauges diverge; score = 60/40 blend of both directions (level constraint: see the 'Inflation constraint' row)",
     "win": "近2月",
     "winEn": "2mo"
    },
    {
     "name": "ETF 持仓",
     "nameEn": "ETF holdings (SPDR)",
     "score": -1,
     "dir": "中性",
     "dirEn": "neutral",
     "reason": "SPDR 持仓 -0.13%（2026-09-29）",
     "reasonEn": "SPDR holdings -0.13% (2026-09-29)",
     "win": "1日",
     "winEn": "1d"
    }
   ],
   "events": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-14（预计）",
     "dateEn": "2026-10-14 (est.)",
     "title": "9 月 CPI 发布",
     "titleEn": "September CPI release",
     "est": "3.04%（区间 2.8–3.2%）",
     "estEn": "3.04% (range 2.8–3.2%)",
     "prob": "≤2.8%：9% · 2.8–3.2%：72% · ≥3.2%：19%",
     "probEn": "≤2.8%: 9% · 2.8–3.2%: 72% · ≥3.2%: 19%",
     "reasons": [
      "布伦特近 30 日 +7.6% / 90 日 -13.2%：能源分项（权重≈6.5%）贡献约 -0.32pp",
      "近两月 CPI 动能 -0.05pp/月（3.5→3.4→3.4），回落延续但减速，衰减系数 0.6",
      "核心 PCE 3.38% 仍高于 2%：租金/服务粘性支撑核心分项",
      "ADP 仅 +9.0 万、密歇根信心 48.1：需求走弱压制服务通胀"
     ],
     "reasonsEn": [
      "Brent +7.6% (30d) / -13.2% (90d): energy component (weight ≈6.5%) contributes ≈-0.32pp",
      "CPI momentum -0.05pp/m over 2m (3.5→3.4→3.4): disinflation continues but decelerates (decay 0.6)",
      "Core PCE 3.38% still above 2%: rent/services stickiness supports the core",
      "ADP just +90k and U-Mich confidence 48.1: weak demand caps services inflation"
     ],
     "kind": "cpi"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-29 · FOMC",
     "dateEn": "2026-10-29 · FOMC",
     "title": "利率决议",
     "titleEn": "FOMC rate decision",
     "est": "基准利率维持 4.00%",
     "estEn": "hold at 4.00%",
     "prob": "加息 33.1% · 不变 65.5% · 降息 0.7%（Polymarket 市场定价 · 2026-10-29 决议）",
     "probEn": "hike 33.1% · hold 65.5% · cut 0.7% (Polymarket market pricing · 2026-10-29 meeting)",
     "reasons": [
      "Polymarket 市场定价 · 2026-10-29 决议：加息 33.1% / 不变 65.5% / 降息 0.7%",
      "核心 PCE 连续回升至 3.38%，通胀约束支持紧缩",
      "但就业走弱（8 月 +16.2 万，7 月初值 −2.3 万）与 Q2 GDP 2.1% 使紧缩代价高",
      "11/3 中期选举前政治上难以承受紧缩冲击 → AI 较市场更倾向按兵不动"
     ],
     "reasonsEn": [
      "Polymarket market pricing · 2026-10-29 meeting: hike 33.1% / hold 65.5% / cut 0.7%",
      "Core PCE back up to 3.38%: inflation constraint favors tightening",
      "But weak jobs (Aug +162k; July initial −23k) and Q2 GDP 2.1% make tightening costly",
      "Politically hard to tighten before the 11/3 midterms → AI leans hold vs the market"
     ],
     "kind": "fomc"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02（预计）",
     "dateEn": "2026-10-02 (est.)",
     "title": "9 月非农发布",
     "titleEn": "September payrolls release",
     "est": "≈+10.0 万（区间 +5.0 ~ +15.0 万）",
     "estEn": "≈+100k (range +50k to +150k)",
     "prob": "负增长 2% · 0–10 万 48% · >10 万 50%",
     "probEn": "negative 2% · 0–100k 48% · >100k 50%",
     "reasons": [
      "ADP 私营 +9.0 万（官方-私营口径差约 +1 万政府就业）",
      "挑战者裁员 +5.3 万：企业收缩信号",
      "修正监测：7 月初值 −2.3 → 现值 +2.1（初值噪声大，区间放宽至 ±5 万）",
      "Q2 GDP 2.1%：企业用工谨慎"
     ],
     "reasonsEn": [
      "ADP private +90k (official−private gap ≈ +10k, government jobs)",
      "Challenger layoffs +53k: corporate downsizing signal",
      "Revision tracker: July initial −23k → now +21k (noisy initial prints; range widened to ±50k)",
      "Q2 GDP 2.1%: cautious hiring"
     ],
     "kind": "nfp"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-03（周二）",
     "dateEn": "2026-11-03 (Tue)",
     "title": "中期选举投票日",
     "titleEn": "Midterm election day",
     "est": "选战白热化：政策人情窗口",
     "estEn": "Race heats up: policy window",
     "prob": null,
     "probEn": null,
     "reasons": [
      "现任需要经济好、股市涨；选前财政/监管取向偏宽松"
     ],
     "reasonsEn": [
      "Incumbent needs a good economy and rising stocks; fiscal/regulatory tilt eases pre-election"
     ],
     "kind": "politics"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-12-08/09 · FOMC",
     "dateEn": "2026-12-08/09 · FOMC",
     "title": "年末决议",
     "titleEn": "Year-end FOMC decision",
     "est": "年内最后一次行动窗口",
     "estEn": "The last action window of the year",
     "prob": null,
     "probEn": null,
     "reasons": [
      "取决于 9/30 PCE 路径：核心 PCE 回落则保留降息想象，回升则紧缩延续"
     ],
     "reasonsEn": [
      "Depends on the 9/30 PCE path: falling core PCE keeps cuts on the table; rising PCE extends tightening"
     ],
     "kind": "fomc"
    }
   ]
  }
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  "disclaimer": "数字与主页同源同口径、经程序校验；不构成投资建议。",
  "attribution": "引用请注明来源 xaudaily.com。",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "license_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "citation": "数据来源：黄金读数 xaudaily.com（https://xaudaily.com/）",
  "citation_en": "Source: Gold Data Reading, xaudaily.com — https://xaudaily.com/",
  "docs": "https://xaudaily.com/data/",
  "homepage": "https://xaudaily.com/",
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    "date": "2026-09-17",
    "stale": false,
    "source": "东方财富·经济数据一览（datacenter-web API）",
    "months": [
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    "asOf": "2026-10-01 06:31",
    "url": "https://polymarket.com/zh/event/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",
    "slug": "fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",
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}